October 29, 2024: chronicle of an announced natural disaster
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.28939/iam.debats-139.9Keywords:
Cold drop València 2024,, flood of the Poio gully 2024,, flood of the Magre River 2024, flood of the Túria River 2024, Avamet, Mediterranean climate changeAbstract
Episodes of torrential rains, high waters and floods are part of the Mediterranean climate, but, due to advances in meteorology in recent decades and the implementation of tools for monitoring rainfall and flows and the growth of rivers and ravines in real time, in addition to the nowcasting tools available to us, they can now be predicted with relative accuracy in advance. In the case study, the weather forecasts diagnosed days in advance a potentially very dangerous episode that would leave large amounts of rain in the middle courses of rivers and ravines in the central part of the Valencian territory and very little or no rain on the coast. The monitoring of the situation on the 29 was carried out with precision thanks to the AVAMET meteorological network. From first thing in the morning and throughout the day, the rivers Magro, Turia, and the Rambla Chiva/Poio/Torrent were found to be receiving huge amounts of rain. A timely warning to the population would have prevented most of the fatalities.
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